Re: Ice Storm Part 2: The 2010 Edition
Posted: Wed Jan 27, 2010 3:30 pm
From: John.Robinson [mailto:John.Robinson@noaa.gov]
Sent: Wednesday, January 27, 2010 3:23 PM
Subject: Winter Weather Outlook
Wednesday, January 27, 2010, 3:20 PM
At this time, we are not making any major changes to the forecast. In
case you did not see the graphics that were posted around 9:30 AM today,
here is the link: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk/?n=win0110b.htm" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
(Scroll down on the Web page to see the ice and snow graphics.)
I know the Tulsa NWS office is thinking there will be some slightly
warmer air aloft near the western border of the state, leading to a
longer period of freezing rain and sleet before the changeover to snow.
Thus, in their view, the .50-.75" ice area would be pulled northward
into the northwest corner of the state.
At this time, the Little Rock NWS office is not changing the Winter
Storm Watch to a Winter Storm Warning. I don't believe the Memphis NWS
office will be upgrading their Watch to a Warning at this time, either.
Forecasts issued on Thursday are likely to change at least some of the
Watches to Warnings.
There are still quite a few uncertainties in the forecast, and later
forecasts may very well make some adjustments to the ice and snow
amounts. So, please don't take the lack of substantive changes at this
time to mean that the winter weather forecast is cast in stone.
Total liquid precipitation (including rain plus melted ice and snow) for
this episode is likely to range from 3/4 to 1 1/2 inches in most areas,
with some local totals to around 2 inches.
I will issue the next message around 9:45 AM Thursday.
John Robinson
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service, Little Rock
Office Web site: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Sent: Wednesday, January 27, 2010 3:23 PM
Subject: Winter Weather Outlook
Wednesday, January 27, 2010, 3:20 PM
At this time, we are not making any major changes to the forecast. In
case you did not see the graphics that were posted around 9:30 AM today,
here is the link: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk/?n=win0110b.htm" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
(Scroll down on the Web page to see the ice and snow graphics.)
I know the Tulsa NWS office is thinking there will be some slightly
warmer air aloft near the western border of the state, leading to a
longer period of freezing rain and sleet before the changeover to snow.
Thus, in their view, the .50-.75" ice area would be pulled northward
into the northwest corner of the state.
At this time, the Little Rock NWS office is not changing the Winter
Storm Watch to a Winter Storm Warning. I don't believe the Memphis NWS
office will be upgrading their Watch to a Warning at this time, either.
Forecasts issued on Thursday are likely to change at least some of the
Watches to Warnings.
There are still quite a few uncertainties in the forecast, and later
forecasts may very well make some adjustments to the ice and snow
amounts. So, please don't take the lack of substantive changes at this
time to mean that the winter weather forecast is cast in stone.
Total liquid precipitation (including rain plus melted ice and snow) for
this episode is likely to range from 3/4 to 1 1/2 inches in most areas,
with some local totals to around 2 inches.
I will issue the next message around 9:45 AM Thursday.
John Robinson
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service, Little Rock
Office Web site: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;