Re: Protecting the Buffalo
Posted: Tue Apr 02, 2013 7:18 pm
HH -- I must have lost you somewhere along the way. I absolutely love the Buffalo ... it was at the center of my life for many, many years. From our farm on Clabber Creek (actually a smaller tributary called Blue John Creek) the river was just a skip and a jump away -- and I did a lot of skipping and a lot of jumping in my childhood -- like nearly every summer day -- fishin', giggin', hikin', cavin', paddlin' -- you name it. My first job -- outside of working on the farm -- was hauling canoes for Fred Dirst, then the Barnes, then the Dodd's, then the Dillards -- was there any livery on the lower Bufflao I didn't haul canoes for? Probably not. You can't have not grown up on the Buffalo and not love the Buffalo. I love the Buffalo -- anyone tell you different they be lying.
Moreover I never ever said that the location within the permit is the "best place for this operation". Never ever. And again, if anyone tell you I did, they be lying. You can disqualify my opinion if you want -- and by the tone and accusations you have leveled I am pretty sure that you never even considered my opinions and viewpoint at anytime during this discourse. And that be fine -- I have a very keen perception and lots of years studying "why people make the decision people make" -- and it has never been my goal to lead you down some path of my choosing. I leave it to others to turn on the power of persuasion to affect some type of action or behavior. My approach with respect to decision analysis is typically characterized by questioning or proposing different interpretations or possibilities -- some of which may challenge conventional wisdom and impetuous conclusions -- and then critically analyzing such possibilities through the filter containing as much knowledge and experience that I can acquire (14 years of post-graduate studies and counting). I think you will find this to be a common theme in those discussions in which I participate.
Moreover to simply cast off opposing viewpoints as being dumb as in "dumb from the start" simply negates all possibility of one being able to extrapolate data in a manner that offers much relevance or legitmacy. Similarly, to denigrate the opinion of water quality experts simply because you believe they have some kind of hidden economic agenda is a serious lapse in judgement. Most water quality experts I work with tend to put economic considerations subserviant to those directly applicable to water quality standards. It is only when recommendations are being made that economic costs are considered -- and most water quality experts emphatically take the position that the world would be a much better place, a cleaner place if economic factors weren't even a consideration. Economic constructs are not imposed by any of the water quality experts -- that is but a tangential consideration. And I certainly cannot fathom in any fashion -- direct, indirect or even postulated -- where I myself would reap any economic benefits from the proposed C&H operation. I think you are looking for leads that simply don't exist. Cognitive dissonance?
And Allen -- tell me. Tell me what is the absolutely worst possible scenario, the worst of worst -- something like a tornado hits the barn and throws pigs and feces far into the air and takes out both dams on the holding ponds and let's the vilest most putrid waste ever imaginable drain into Big Creek and subsequently into the Buffalo. What do you believe to be the short-term effect and cost? What do you believe to be the long-term effect and cost? And just how likely is this to occur? In essence, let's begin to run a complete risk assessment on this project and put some numbers to the paper. I am far more interested in looking at the data and making projections rather than just saying "it's dumb" or "he's nothing but a troll" or using some editorial opinion writer to direct my decision making. I like cold hard facts and figures -- not suppositions, assumptions and testimonials.
And CC -- thank you for hoisting me up on your shoulders. The view is amazing! And your head isn't so big I have no place to rest -- again I respect both your opinions and passion. And despite an occassional lapse in tact you make up for it in humility (a blessed trait). As to Gilbert Springs -- still fecal coliforms, still probable contamination from rural septic systems -- albeit we agree Dry Creek is also a significant contributor and certainly includes contamination from livestock within the watershed. The broken septic line has been repaired -- as to the well, maybe yes, maybe no -- sadly we often have no way of knowing for sure as it is very difficult to isolate a particular fecal coliform to a particular person or household and there are a lot of septic lines within the recharge basin of Gilbert Spring which you have already stated includes the sinking portion of Dry Creek and this must also include its watershed and the recharge basins of those springs which contribute to its discharge. I might also state here I have drunk from Gilbert Springs during baseflow on numerous occassions without ill effect. NOTE: This is not an endorsement. Drinking from any open body of water merits caution in this day and age.
One of the things lacking with regard to water quality measures looking at fecal coliforms on the Buffalo River is our inability to readily determine the origin of the fecal coliform contaminants that have already been identified. As I mentioned before it is extremely difficult (and expensive) to isolate a specific organism to a specific person/household; and similarly, identification of a potential pathogen's original host -- be it cow, pig, chicken or human -- involves a lot of work: collecting a field sample of sufficient sample size in order to aquire statistically meaningful data, culturing the specific pathogen or organism, acquiring an appropriate DNA probe and then repeating the exercise over and over again under a myriad of meteorological conditions. These are very expensive assays and although they have been pursued in a few isolated instances within the watershed I am not aware of any extended DNA probe analysis having ever been carried out on the Buffalo River. Such a study has never crossed my desk and if it exists out there I hope someone will step forward and share it with me.
Albeit the internet serves as a readily available source of information I agree CC we can't believe everything we read on the internet. I love the OWL but they do have an "agenda" which they must support and we all like to "spin the facts" to fit our particular needs. And I am no exception -- I haven't quite got a grasp on my needs, but I certainly got the spin. You know I'm one dizzy dude.
As to my personal viewpoint -- honestly and with all the integrity -- I see this situation as a win:win rather than a lose:lose. If the permit is not revoked I have faith in the ADEQ and the NPS to provide the needed regulatory oversight to minimize the environmental impact of this CAFE on the Buffalo River's water quality -- especially given the tremendous public outpouring of interest and concern given to this matter. A lot of eyes will be on C&H. And if the permit is revoked -- perhaps all the better because then we can focus on other environmental issues, many of which in the grand scheme of things are far more important and relevant to the preservation of nature's marvelous works and wonders.
And thus -- and with apologies -- I wish you all well as I recluse myself from further discourse -- my points have been made and I will soon outwear my welcome if I continue. I have enjoyed riding CC's shoulders but thanks to the ACC the sidelines offer ample opportunity to keep myself informed on issues concerning our recreational and environmental endeavors. I have enjoyed this opportunity and I thank the moderators for allowing this discourse to proceed freely. Additionally I thank the contributors one and all for behaving as gentlemen/ladies when passions are so strong and division in thought and interpretation so evident. You are wonderful people.
Moreover I never ever said that the location within the permit is the "best place for this operation". Never ever. And again, if anyone tell you I did, they be lying. You can disqualify my opinion if you want -- and by the tone and accusations you have leveled I am pretty sure that you never even considered my opinions and viewpoint at anytime during this discourse. And that be fine -- I have a very keen perception and lots of years studying "why people make the decision people make" -- and it has never been my goal to lead you down some path of my choosing. I leave it to others to turn on the power of persuasion to affect some type of action or behavior. My approach with respect to decision analysis is typically characterized by questioning or proposing different interpretations or possibilities -- some of which may challenge conventional wisdom and impetuous conclusions -- and then critically analyzing such possibilities through the filter containing as much knowledge and experience that I can acquire (14 years of post-graduate studies and counting). I think you will find this to be a common theme in those discussions in which I participate.
Moreover to simply cast off opposing viewpoints as being dumb as in "dumb from the start" simply negates all possibility of one being able to extrapolate data in a manner that offers much relevance or legitmacy. Similarly, to denigrate the opinion of water quality experts simply because you believe they have some kind of hidden economic agenda is a serious lapse in judgement. Most water quality experts I work with tend to put economic considerations subserviant to those directly applicable to water quality standards. It is only when recommendations are being made that economic costs are considered -- and most water quality experts emphatically take the position that the world would be a much better place, a cleaner place if economic factors weren't even a consideration. Economic constructs are not imposed by any of the water quality experts -- that is but a tangential consideration. And I certainly cannot fathom in any fashion -- direct, indirect or even postulated -- where I myself would reap any economic benefits from the proposed C&H operation. I think you are looking for leads that simply don't exist. Cognitive dissonance?
And Allen -- tell me. Tell me what is the absolutely worst possible scenario, the worst of worst -- something like a tornado hits the barn and throws pigs and feces far into the air and takes out both dams on the holding ponds and let's the vilest most putrid waste ever imaginable drain into Big Creek and subsequently into the Buffalo. What do you believe to be the short-term effect and cost? What do you believe to be the long-term effect and cost? And just how likely is this to occur? In essence, let's begin to run a complete risk assessment on this project and put some numbers to the paper. I am far more interested in looking at the data and making projections rather than just saying "it's dumb" or "he's nothing but a troll" or using some editorial opinion writer to direct my decision making. I like cold hard facts and figures -- not suppositions, assumptions and testimonials.
And CC -- thank you for hoisting me up on your shoulders. The view is amazing! And your head isn't so big I have no place to rest -- again I respect both your opinions and passion. And despite an occassional lapse in tact you make up for it in humility (a blessed trait). As to Gilbert Springs -- still fecal coliforms, still probable contamination from rural septic systems -- albeit we agree Dry Creek is also a significant contributor and certainly includes contamination from livestock within the watershed. The broken septic line has been repaired -- as to the well, maybe yes, maybe no -- sadly we often have no way of knowing for sure as it is very difficult to isolate a particular fecal coliform to a particular person or household and there are a lot of septic lines within the recharge basin of Gilbert Spring which you have already stated includes the sinking portion of Dry Creek and this must also include its watershed and the recharge basins of those springs which contribute to its discharge. I might also state here I have drunk from Gilbert Springs during baseflow on numerous occassions without ill effect. NOTE: This is not an endorsement. Drinking from any open body of water merits caution in this day and age.
One of the things lacking with regard to water quality measures looking at fecal coliforms on the Buffalo River is our inability to readily determine the origin of the fecal coliform contaminants that have already been identified. As I mentioned before it is extremely difficult (and expensive) to isolate a specific organism to a specific person/household; and similarly, identification of a potential pathogen's original host -- be it cow, pig, chicken or human -- involves a lot of work: collecting a field sample of sufficient sample size in order to aquire statistically meaningful data, culturing the specific pathogen or organism, acquiring an appropriate DNA probe and then repeating the exercise over and over again under a myriad of meteorological conditions. These are very expensive assays and although they have been pursued in a few isolated instances within the watershed I am not aware of any extended DNA probe analysis having ever been carried out on the Buffalo River. Such a study has never crossed my desk and if it exists out there I hope someone will step forward and share it with me.
Albeit the internet serves as a readily available source of information I agree CC we can't believe everything we read on the internet. I love the OWL but they do have an "agenda" which they must support and we all like to "spin the facts" to fit our particular needs. And I am no exception -- I haven't quite got a grasp on my needs, but I certainly got the spin. You know I'm one dizzy dude.
As to my personal viewpoint -- honestly and with all the integrity -- I see this situation as a win:win rather than a lose:lose. If the permit is not revoked I have faith in the ADEQ and the NPS to provide the needed regulatory oversight to minimize the environmental impact of this CAFE on the Buffalo River's water quality -- especially given the tremendous public outpouring of interest and concern given to this matter. A lot of eyes will be on C&H. And if the permit is revoked -- perhaps all the better because then we can focus on other environmental issues, many of which in the grand scheme of things are far more important and relevant to the preservation of nature's marvelous works and wonders.
And thus -- and with apologies -- I wish you all well as I recluse myself from further discourse -- my points have been made and I will soon outwear my welcome if I continue. I have enjoyed riding CC's shoulders but thanks to the ACC the sidelines offer ample opportunity to keep myself informed on issues concerning our recreational and environmental endeavors. I have enjoyed this opportunity and I thank the moderators for allowing this discourse to proceed freely. Additionally I thank the contributors one and all for behaving as gentlemen/ladies when passions are so strong and division in thought and interpretation so evident. You are wonderful people.