LETS PADDLE

[gannon311]

need someone to paddle with

[gannon311]

give me a call 501-208-4899

[iYak]

Where do you live?

[Lifejacket]

He lives in Birdtown

[gannon311]

20 mins from conway

[iYak]

I will probably be out on the Mulberry this weekend, even if we don't get more rain it should hold at a nice level.

If the NWS predictions come true, we might have some creekin water on this side of the state. If you are interested in going creekin, the Mulberry and Lee Creek watersheds didn't get the damage that other areas did. I'm not sure about the Sugar Creek area, but hopefully it didn't get hit too bad either.

Fish said that Fern Gulley / Little Mill didn't get any damage, and I'm hoping that Mormon and White Rock are clear too.

I'm a bit far from your area but if you think you might be heading this way, you are welcome to hook up with us. My number is 4 seven 9 8-0-6 2 617

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
511 AM CST TUE FEB 10 2009
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. ALL
TYPES OF SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...
AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL
INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND PEAK DURING THE EVENING
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. INITIAL STORMS WILL HAVE THE
HIGHEST TORNADIC POTENTIAL...WITH LOCATIONS SOUTH OF A LINE
FROM MCALESTER TO FORT SMITH HAVING THE GREATEST COMBINATION
OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR. AS THE EVENT DEVELOPS INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...A LARGE AND DAMAGING SQUALL LINE IS LIKELY
TO SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA. A TORNADIC THREAT WILL ALSO
CONTINUE DURING THIS TIMEFRAME...WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER...HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY WITH
WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES AMOUNTS EXPECTED WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
EXCEEDING 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WILL RAISE THE RISK OF
FLASH FLOODING ESPECIALLY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
SPOTTER COORDINATION SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED AS STORM MOTIONS
WILL LIKELY BE 40 MPH OR MORE MAKING SPOTTING DIFFICULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE ENDING FROM
WEST TO EAST. INCREASING WINDS BY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WILL
RAISE THE FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL AS GRASSES WILL DRY QUICKLY
DESPITE THE PREVIOUS RAINS. A COOL DOWN TO MORE SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED BY LATE WEEK...WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
RETURNING BY SUNDAY.

[Graham]

[prophet]

we drove White Rock Mtn road (the Spirit creek putin road). Some, but not much damage along there. i would think Spirit, and White Rock would be ok.

[Fish]

Lions and tigers and bears... oh my!

Fern Gulley was clear of trees, so Spirits and probably White Rock should be good to go indeed. Little Mill is as well (of course).

- Fish

[iYak]

So far, it looks like Ben Doodle and Hart Creek have gotten some good rains. I thought that West Cedar was getting a bunch too, but looking at Google Earth w/Fish's overlay (I guess you call his overlay - scales ) says otherwise.

These images are from Google Earth w/Scales, and they show what has fell before the major line comes through tonight(if it does). If you haven't tried Google Earth with Fishes overlay, it is an awesome tool http://www.arkansascanoeclub.com/mb/vie ... 25&start=0" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; click here for links and info on using it.

Good rains on Ben Doodle and Hart


So far Cedar isn't looking too good


Notice: Yellow lines are the watershed and the pink ones are the actual river.

[mb]

Call me, too. 479-530-5204 Fayetteville area.

[iYak]

If you happen to catch Mormon Creek tomorrow, here is a picture of one of the drops - Mammer Jammer. For scale, that is me in the white shirt with my 85 pound pit bull, Patton, above me.

[NickHobbs]

That is a BIG dog.

[jjones03]

wooo i wouldnt mind running that...

[iYak]

Sugar Creek had some good rainfall, but if you look right next to it Jacks Creek didn't get very much...(approx. 9 pm)